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Grading AI 2027’s 2025 Predictions
How has AI progress compared to AI 2027 thus far?
Feb 12
•
Eli Lifland
and
Daniel Kokotajlo
87
24
13
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Clarifying how our AI timelines forecasts have changed since AI 2027
Correcting common misunderstandings
Jan 27
•
Eli Lifland
,
Daniel Kokotajlo
, and
Brendan Halstead
55
10
7
Forecast how AI will progress in 2026
Predict benchmark scores, revenues, uplift, and public opinion
Jan 17
•
Eli Lifland
30
1
1
What Happens When Superhuman AIs Compete for Control?
....
Jan 11
•
Steven Veld
70
44
9
AI Futures Model: Dec 2025 Update
We've significantly improved our model of AI timelines and takeoff speeds!
Dec 31, 2025
•
Daniel Kokotajlo
,
Eli Lifland
,
Brendan Halstead
, and
Alex Kastner
176
56
17
Early US policy priorities for AGI
Near-term AI policy is confusing, except for these two recommendations
Dec 9, 2025
•
Nick Marsh
76
11
10
Common Ground between AI 2027 & AI as Normal Technology
AI 2027 and AI as Normal Technology were both published in April of this year.
Published on Asterisk Magazine
•
Nov 12, 2025
Scenario Scrutiny for AI Policy
A call for concrete stress-testing of AI policy proposals
Oct 28, 2025
•
Joshua Turner
and
Daniel Kokotajlo
61
19
6
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