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Making sense of OpenAI's models
Plus: GPT-5's secret identity
May 1 • 
Scott Alexander
 and 
Romeo Dean
86

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AI Futures Project
Making sense of OpenAI's models
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22

April 2025

Why America Wins
In a word: compute
Apr 24 • 
Scott Alexander
 and 
Romeo Dean
116

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AI Futures Project
Why America Wins
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56
AI 2027: Media, Reactions, Criticism
We recognize our supporters and respond to our critics
Apr 23 • 
Scott Alexander
90

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AI 2027: Media, Reactions, Criticism
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23
Training AGI in Secret would be Unsafe and Unethical
Bad for loss of control risks, bad for concentration of power risks
Apr 17 • 
Daniel Kokotajlo
44

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Training AGI in Secret would be Unsafe and Unethical
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7
Beyond The Last Horizon
What are time horizons, and how do we use them in our forecast?
Apr 11 • 
Scott Alexander
46

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Beyond The Last Horizon
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10
Our first project: AI 2027
What superintelligence looks like
Apr 3 • 
Daniel Kokotajlo
142

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Our first project: AI 2027
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34

December 2024

Coming soon
This is AI Futures Project.
Dec 6, 2024 • 
Jonas Vollmer
6

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AI Futures Project
Coming soon
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