AI Futures Project

Early US policy priorities for AGI

Near-term AI policy is confusing, except for these two recommendations

7 hrs ago • 

Nick Marsh

30

1

4

November 2025

October 2025

Scenario Scrutiny for AI Policy

A call for concrete stress-testing of AI policy proposals

Oct 28 • 

Joshua Turner

 and 

Daniel Kokotajlo

55

18

6

How an AI company CEO could quietly take over the world

If the future is to hinge on AI, it stands to reason that AI company CEOs are in a good position to usurp power. This didn’t quite happen in our AI 2027…

Oct 21 • 

Alex Kastner

78

15

7

September 2025

The world's first frontier AI regulation is surprisingly thoughtful: the EU's Code of Practice

Only the US can make us ready for AGI, but Europe just made us readier.

Sep 22 • 

Miles Kodama

55

9

4

July 2025

AI As Profoundly Abnormal Technology

....

Jul 24 • 

Scott Alexander

224

47

49

We aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy

...

Jul 18 • 

Scott Alexander

, 

Daniel Kokotajlo

, 

Thomas Larsen

, and 

Eli Lifland

109

19

8

June 2025

What you can do about AI 2027

How to steer toward a positive AGI future

Jun 28 • 

Eli Lifland

152

27

21

May 2025

Slow corporations as an intuition pump for AI R&D automation

If slower employees would be much worse wouldn't automated faster ones be much better?

May 19 • 

Ryan Greenblatt

 and 

Eli Lifland

35

3

2

Make The Prompt Public

The right to know what an AI is doing

May 17 • 

Scott Alexander

 and 

Daniel Kokotajlo

138

17

21

Making sense of OpenAI's models

Plus: GPT-5's secret identity

May 1 • 

Scott Alexander

 and 

Romeo Dean

103

23

5

April 2025

Why America Wins

In a word: compute

Apr 24 • 

Scott Alexander

 and 

Romeo Dean

148

53

18