AI Futures Project

Scenario Scrutiny for AI Policy

A call for concrete stress-testing of AI policy proposals

Oct 28 • 

Joshua Turner

 and 

Daniel Kokotajlo

47

8

How an AI company CEO could quietly take over the world

If the future is to hinge on AI, it stands to reason that AI company CEOs are in a good position to usurp power. This didn’t quite happen in our AI 2027…

Oct 21 • 

Alex Kastner

77

14

September 2025

The world's first frontier AI regulation is surprisingly thoughtful: the EU's Code of Practice

Only the US can make us ready for AGI, but Europe just made us readier.

Sep 22 • 

Miles Kodama

54

9

July 2025

AI As Profoundly Abnormal Technology

....

Jul 24 • 

Scott Alexander

221

40

We aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy

...

Jul 18 • 

Scott Alexander

, 

Daniel Kokotajlo

, 

Thomas Larsen

, and 

Eli Lifland

107

18

June 2025

What you can do about AI 2027

How to steer toward a positive AGI future

Jun 28 • 

Eli Lifland

149

27

May 2025

Slow corporations as an intuition pump for AI R&D automation

If slower employees would be much worse wouldn't automated faster ones be much better?

May 19 • 

Ryan Greenblatt

 and 

Eli Lifland

35

3

Make The Prompt Public

The right to know what an AI is doing

May 17 • 

Scott Alexander

 and 

Daniel Kokotajlo

139

17

Making sense of OpenAI's models

Plus: GPT-5's secret identity

May 1 • 

Scott Alexander

 and 

Romeo Dean

103

23

April 2025

Why America Wins

In a word: compute

Apr 24 • 

Scott Alexander

 and 

Romeo Dean

147

53

AI 2027: Media, Reactions, Criticism

We recognize our supporters and respond to our critics

Apr 23 • 

Scott Alexander

112

25

Training AGI in Secret would be Unsafe and Unethical

Bad for loss of control risks, bad for concentration of power risks

Apr 17 • 

Daniel Kokotajlo

63

12